There are mixed views about whether the massive rollovers for the Scoop 6 are a good thing. It could have been won long ago if races were selected that gave the punter a fighting chance. Some have said that it’s now no more than the equivalent of a Lotto ticket.
I don’t agree. The selected races have been bordering on unfathomable at times but there have been bizarre results (e.g. last week) which have contributed to the current vast sum available. If you’re interested in horse racing and spend a little time checking the form for each of the races you can generally eliminate 50% of the field, based on average results. It hasn’t worked for weeks and months but it will eventually. Of course you might lose by any one of the other 50% winning any of the races but, with average fields at, say , 14 runners, that’s narrowed it down to a 1 in 7 selection per race. That’s a 1 in 117,650 chance overall, compared with a 1 in 14 million chance of winning the lottery!
There is then the place fund which wouldn’t be bad!
- 17 May 2014 £1717.40
- 10 May 2014 £1065.00
- 3 May 2014 £914.00
- 26 April 2014 £738.40
There is also the question of syndicates placing high multiple stakes and thereby excluding small stakes punters. The bet is susceptible to a guaranteed win if all horses are covered but that requires such a vast bet that the investment isn’t worthwhile. That’s why critics of the difficulty of the bet are wrong. It has to be difficult enough to avoid a guaranteed win so it can’t include small fields and short odds.
Anyway, on to the selections!
After all that it’s 7/1 the field! I think that this is a two selection race with Discussiontofollow on the form and Out Do as the improver who could deliver.
Hadaj and Just Paul (improver)
I think that this has to be a three way option with Wahaab, Penny Drops, and Mick’s Yer Man. I’m also considering Supplicant but that’s one too many.
Joyeuse is the obvious choice and should win. If you’re worried about the cost of multiples just go for this one, shit or bust! If you want others add Spinatrix and Blithe Spirit (in that order).
This is just not a good race so beware! It has a long odds winner written all over it but, eventually, likely winners will win. This could well be the Scoop 6 defeater but you have to assume that it won’t be. On that basis we’ll go for Khelman and Johnny Cavagin. This is an obvious race to go for the unnamed favourite and I think that will be my choice.
So, if you’ve got as far as this one it’s very exciting! I’m still thinking about the possible place payout (a tasty placepot alternative) so, what to do! If I tell you the truth they’re none of them that good so there is a definite lottery aspect for this race. I’ll definitely select the unnamed favourite and Zarwaan on the basis that I’ll still have a place shout. By the way, if I have by then I’ll be partying like it’s 1999!!!